Most business owners fail because of themselves. They act too slow. Emotionally. Or reactively.
We constantly have to make decisions under pressure, but pressure makes for bad decisions unless we’ve planned ahead.
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I recently started watching “Surviving Black Hawk Down” on Netflix and one word sticks in my mind: chaos. Now, let me pause for a minute: if you always hated when leaders used war analogies in business (like me), please stick with me.
Bullets flying. Chaos all around. The battlefield is a blur of noise, dust, and confusion, and especially in that situation. Nothing went to plan, but their training took over and they took new orders and executed those… even in the middle of complete chaos.
The ability of these soldiers to perform under this pressure is the epidomy of discipline. They call it the fog of war for a reason. And they train for that fog. On the whole, these soldiers don’t freeze. They don’t panic. They follow their training, lean on their protocols, and adapt to the new plan their leaders bark out as conditions change.
Yes, I’m going to compare this to business. And it’s a bad comparison. But the “fog of war” concept is true in business as it is in war. Yes, it’s completely different. But when I watched the show, I couldn’t help but see the relation to these concepts we’re talking about.
In combat, the fog of war makes decisions hard. So, how do they avoid making bad decisions? They train, they plan, and they plan some more.
Last week we talked about using financial triggers to KNOW when to make financial decisions ahead of time. But those triggers are useless without a plan. The moment you hit that gate is the worst moment to make a decision. It’s the moment you feel stress, anxiety, and uncertainty, which means it’s the moment you’re most likely to make a bad decision.
Whether it’s a sudden cash shortfall, an unexpected surge in demand, or a market shift that threatens your margins, you don’t want to be scrambling to make decisions while everything is already in motion.
And that’s where we can learn from the military: they plan and plan and plan. And that planning means that in those moments of chaos, they can act decisively.
Just the same, we need a plan. And that’s where the other half comes in: offensive & defensive action plans.
By creating these pre-planned responses, you’re able to move forward decisively instead of emotionally.
Now, they’re self-explanatory in their name, but I’ll still define them:
Let’s talk about how to build it.
In 2010, Harvard Business Review wrote an article titled “Roaring Out of Recession.” The article is the result of a year-long study they did analyzing corporate performance during 3 global recessions (1980-82, 1990-91, 2000-02).
They grouped companies into 4 groups:
Progressive-focused companies significantly outperformed all other companies, with prevention-focused companies performing the poorest.
When looking at who cut staff during the recession, progressive-focused companies only cut staff 23% of the time, where prevention-focused companies cut staff 56% of the time.
While it’s just one data point, this data point makes it clear: reactive decision making is is not a good recession strategy.
Instead, we want to proactively make decisions, which allows us to focus on both the offensive and defensive actions during hard times.
When a trigger (gate or buffer) is hit, having a plan with both offensive (growth focused) and defensive (protection focused) actions gives us the best chance to succeed.
Defensive plans prevent small problems from becoming big problems. These are huge when talking about staying out of the “fog of business.”
When your biggest customer cancels their service, it’s hard to remain rational. These plans help you because they already have the first few steps in place.
So, where should you use defensive action plans? Any place you want to protect against a downside risk. For example:
A few examples of what a simple trigger → action plan would look like:
But if we only focus on survival, as demonstrated in the Harvard article, we’ll never be an industry leader. The best way to get ahead isn’t to outperform in the good times, but to do so in the hard times.
Great businesses prepare to strike when conditions are right. And that requires having an offensive mindset.
Offensive action plans are key to capitalizing on opportunities:
Offensive action plans are a natural part of our annual or strategic planning, but they can even be used to react more quickly to changing market conditions:
It’s about being nimble when others are standing still.
The SWOT analysis is a great way to evaluate your business and determine where you need to create action plans.
Some examples of risks (defensive actions needed):
Some examples of growth levers/opportunities (Offensive actions needed):
This goes back to the gates and buffers concept. For the most important metrics you’re measuring, specific financial or operational thresholds that triggers a response.
For defensive action plans, these triggers can look like this:
For offensive ones, here are a few more examples:
Notice the key word: simple. We’re not creating a 10-step,10-page document that we’re to follow to the letter.
These action plans should be 2-3 steps that should be taken immediately. They should include:
I figure the best way to explain this is through examples.
Example: Cash Flow Crisis Plan
Example: Market Downturn Response
Example: Hiring Acceleration Plan
If a plan doesn’t have an owner, it won’t get done. And not only does it need an owner, it needs a bought in owner.
So, for each trigger and action plan, ask:
For example: in a cash flow crisis, the CFO tracks & triggers plan, CEO approves, Controller executes. When growing your staff, the Operations Manager tracks workload, CEO approves, HR executes.
Your plans should evolve with the business. Doing an annual planning session once every three years won’t accomplish this. You need both annual planning and quarterly reviews.
In these, you should be reviewing both your gates and buffers and action plans. Be asking:
By structuring financial decisions around triggers and offensive/defensive responses, business owners can move from reactive to proactive decision-making.
And just to be clear: we don’t just automatically enact the plans when a trigger is hit. The plans are the starting point that stop us from making bad, rash decisions.
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Most business owners wait too late to act. Sometimes it’s analysis paralysis, but other times it’s because they haven’t thought it through.
By setting up financial triggers and action plans, you’ll be prepared to act faster and smarter, and ultimately gain a competitive edge.